The first quarter of 2026 is projected to be the fourth warmest on record, with expectations of a strong El Niño event later in the year. Scientists predict a 19% chance that 2026 will surpass 2024 as the warmest year. The arrival of a 'super' El Niño could significantly impact global weather patterns, leading to increased temperatures and extreme weather events. A recent study from the University of Hawai'i at Mānoa claims to predict El Niño conditions up to 15 months in advance, which could help mitigate potential impacts.