Poland's presidential election in May is crucial for Prime Minister Donald Tusk, whose government faces challenges from incumbent President Andrzej Duda and internal coalition disputes. Tusk's pro-European coalition hopes to gain a parliamentary majority to enact reforms, particularly on issues like abortion and same-sex civil unions. Polls indicate that Rafał Trzaskowski, Tusk's candidate, is leading against PiS-backed Karol Nawrocki. The election outcome will significantly impact Tusk's political future and the government's ability to implement its agenda.